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Stats & Solos
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LIES, FORTY FIVES
AND STATISTICS

Croke Park mosaic at sunset

What’s included in Stats & Solos

Season & Match Forecasts

Free
  • League and Championship Winners
  • Match-by-match forecasts
  • Power Rankings

Support the project. Unlock the season toolkit.

Season Pass
  • Forecast Decks for every match
  • Championship What-ifs and paths - opponent chances by round
  • Simulators (tweak ratings/results and re-run seasons)
All-Ireland
Championship Sims
Updated after every simulation run
All-Ireland championship WinnerDonegal24%Kerry24%Galway11%Armagh11%Dublin8%Mayo7%Derry5%Tyrone2%

Title Chances

All Ireland Championship

The All Ireland Championship is fully simulated round-by-round after every set of results.With Season Pass: See opponent probabilities by round, and run your own championship sims by tweaking team ratings.

Sample match preview
Clare vs Kerry
Round SF • Sat 25 Apr, 1:00
View preview
Clare
18
Kerry
29
Clare 7%Draw 3%Kerry 89%

Match Forecasts

Clare vs Kerry

Projected scores, win/draw/lose chances and model totals for every game.With Season Pass: Unlock every match forecast deck — score splits (Beta), form/styles, and what a win/draw/loss does to each team’s season

Gaelic football goal posts
Provincial outlook
Connacht

Progression Chances.

QF
SF
F
W
Galway
0%
100%
98%
61%
Mayo
100%
100%
69%
27%
Roscommon
100%
100%
31%
12%
Leitrim
100%
100%
2%
0%

Round-by-round

Follow the Provincial Championships

Progression chances updated after every round.With Season Pass: Change Team Ratings and see impacts.

Other features

More ways to explore the season

Power rankings

Attack & Defence Ratings

TeamOvr
Donegal
WDLWW
1.83
Kerry
WWWDL
1.82
Armagh
LLWDW
1.64
Latest: 19 Apr 2026

Team styles

Season Pass

Armagh Team Style

Current season · Attack · Relative

G1‑P2‑P

Who’s gonna knock you out?

Season Pass

Meath sample

Most likely knockout team and round from the All Ireland championship

Who's gonna knock you out?

Meath

Donegal in the QF

4.3%

Draw Matrix

Season Pass

Semi Final pairings

Top 3 likely pairings from the Draw Matrix.

Top 3

DonegalvsKerry

12%

ArmaghvsKerry

9.4%

DonegalvsGalway

9.4%

Scoring form

Season Pass

Team ranks

See where a team’s goals, two-pointers and total scoring rank over the last 3, 5 and 10 games.

MetricLast 3Last 5Last 10
G31265
2P10810
Pts231610

Path to Sam

Season Pass

Dublin's QF draw

Tap a round to see a range of possible quarter-final opponents.

QF reach

62.5%

Dublin quarter-final opponent probabilitiesKerry13%Donegal12%Galway11%

All Ireland Championship

Provincial Favourites

Connacht

Galway

61%

Munster

Kerry

82%

Leinster

Dublin

55%

Ulster

Donegal

41%

Support the site

Follow the 2026 season as it happens and before it happens.

Behind the Numbers

About the Creator+
Stats & Solos is an independent project run by one person. I design the models, write the code and keep everything up to date around normal life and a full-time job. Season Pass members directly fund the time, tools and costs needed to keep Stats & Solos running and improving.
About The Model+
The model is built on two decades of inter-county results. It estimates a team's strength based on how they've performed, where they've perfomed, and who they've performed against. It uses team ratings to project future scorelines and its own success rate to simulate uncertainty around these numbers and create Win/Draw/Loss Rates
Update Frequency+
Data is typically updated after each weekend of games