Season & Match Forecasts
Free
- ✓League and Championship Winners
- ✓Match-by-match forecasts
- ✓Power Rankings
LIES, FORTY FIVES
AND STATISTICS
What’s included in Stats & Solos
Support the project. Unlock the season toolkit.
Season Pass
- ✓Forecast Decks for every match
- ✓What-ifs + paths (promotion/relegation, opponent chances by round)
- ✓Simulators (tweak ratings/results and re-run seasons)
All-Ireland
Championship Sims
Updated after every simulation run
Title Chances
All Ireland Championship
The All Ireland Championship is fully simulated round-by-round after every set of results.With Season Pass: See opponent probabilities by round, and run your own championship sims by tweaking team ratings.
Sample match preview
Kerry vs Galway
Round 3 • Sat 14 Feb, 17:00
Kerry
22
Galway
20
Kerry 60%Draw 9%Galway 31%
Match Forecasts
Kerry vs Galway
Projected scores, win/draw/lose chances and model totals for every game.With Season Pass: Unlock every match forecast deck — score splits (Beta), form/styles, and what a win/draw/loss does to each team’s season
Other features
More ways to explore the season
Power rankings
Attack & Defence Ratings
TeamAttDefOvr
Donegal
WWLWW
Kerry
WWWWL
Armagh
WLLWL
Scoring stats
Value of a goal
Goal share hovered around 19% in recent seasons but dropped to 15.8% in 2025
14%16%19%21%
What-ifs
Season PassKerry vs Galway
See what a team winning or losing does to everyone's league chances
Top 2
Kerry
If they win46.8%
If they lose12.9%
Relegation
Galway
If they win3.5%
If they lose16.7%
Extreme scenarios
Season PassUnlucky relegation
| Pos | Team | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DON | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | ROS | 9 | 7 |
| 3 | MON | 9 | -6 |
| 4 | MAY | 8 | -3 |
| 5 | KER | 7 | -4 |
| 6 | GAL | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | ARM | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | DUB | 0 | -25 |
Scoring form
Season PassTeam ranks
See where a team’s goals, two-pointers and total scoring rank over the last 3, 5 and 10 games.
| Metric | Last 3 | Last 5 | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| G | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2P | 26 | 17 | 18 |
| Pts | 7 | 4 | 8 |
Path to Sam
Season PassDublin's QF draw
Tap a round to see a range of possible quarter-final opponents.
QF reach
67.7%
All Ireland Championship
Provincial Favourites
Connacht
Galway
51%
Munster
Kerry
76%
Leinster
Dublin
66%
Ulster
Donegal
38%
Support the site
Follow the 2026 season as it happens and before it happens.
Behind the Numbers
About the Creator+
Stats & Solos is an independent project run by one person. I design the models, write the code and keep everything up to date around normal life and a full-time job. Season Pass members directly fund the time, tools and costs needed to keep Stats & Solos running and improving.
About The Model+
The model is built on two decades of inter-county results. It estimates a team's strength based on how they've performed, where they've perfomed, and who they've performed against. It uses team ratings to project future scorelines and its own success rate to simulate uncertainty around these numbers and create Win/Draw/Loss Rates
Update Frequency+
Data is typically updated after each weekend of games